Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano
Expected Goals
3.34 (league 1.32)
0.79 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.0%
2 - 0
9.0%
4 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Calvo Sotelo | 0 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 80% | 50% |
| Defense | 70% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 17% | 45% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 0% | 83% | 45% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 80% | 45% |
Form: Calvo Sotelo: LDWDWDWWDWD • Marchamalo: DLWLDLDLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 55% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 18% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.2% |
Advice: Winner : Calvo Sotelo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Calvo Sotelo = 3.34 (league 1.32), Marchamalo = 0.79 (league 1.02)
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Calvo Sotelo | 0 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 5.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1