Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.53) 1.02 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.5% 16.9% 13.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 2.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.4% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaPotenza
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack27%33%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Potenza
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%57%64%57%14%36%
Draws14%29%21%43%14%29%
Loses14%14%14%0%71%36%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDW • Potenza: WDLDWLWDDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Potenza
HATHAT
GF total1192011819
GF avg1.61.31.41.61.11.4
GA total771441721
GA avg1.01.01.00.62.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaPotenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%64%64%
1.557%29%50%57%
2.57%7%21%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaPotenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets325505
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaPotenza
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaPotenza
Wins51
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-23-02-3
Biggest losses2-32-0—3-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaPotenza
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total60.3%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Salernitana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away6.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 2.51 (league 1.53), Potenza = 1.02 (league 1.08)

Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 2.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.4% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.5% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 13.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1