Serie B — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:30 • Ligga Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.14) 0.87 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 27.7% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Paranaense 0 10.8% 9.3% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmerica Mineiro
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack50%50%
Defense93%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Paranaense America Mineiro
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins50%47%49%37%28%32%
Draws28%16%22%42%11%27%
Loses22%37%30%21%61%41%

Form: Atletico Paranaense: WWLWLLDLWDLWWLWLLDDDLDWWWWWWWLLDDWWWW • America Mineiro: WLWWLLDLWLLWDWLLLLDLLDLWDDWLWWDLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Atletico Paranaense America Mineiro
HATHAT
GF total223052241741
GF avg1.21.61.41.30.91.1
GA total152843192443
GA avg0.81.51.21.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico ParanaenseAmerica Mineiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%70%70%78%
1.546%30%32%30%
2.58%11%8%8%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmerica Mineiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511448
Failed to score3253811

Penalties

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmerica Mineiro
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total85

Streaks

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmerica Mineiro
Wins72
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-23-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmerica Mineiro
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Paranaense = 1.36 (league 1.14), America Mineiro = 0.87 (league 0.83)

America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Paranaense 0 10.8% 9.3% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 23.8%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1