Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio Soinca Bata
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.64)
0.35 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.8% | 15.1% | 4.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
17.2%
3 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Real San Joaquín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| D. Melipilla | 0 | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 36% | 50% | 45% | 9% | 27% |
| Draws | 18% | 9% | 14% | 0% | 27% | 14% |
| Loses | 18% | 55% | 36% | 55% | 64% | 59% |
Form: D. Melipilla: LWLLWDLLLWWWWWWWWLDDLW • Real San Joaquín: DLDLWWLLLDLLLLLWLLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 21 | 29 | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 68% | 68% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 45% | 27% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 18% | 0% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | D. Melipilla | Real San Joaquín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Advice: Double chance : D. Melipilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): D. Melipilla = 2.20 (league 1.64), Real San Joaquín = 0.35 (league 1.20)
| Real San Joaquín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| D. Melipilla | 0 | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 4.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1