Serie A — Italy
Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 19:45 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.24) 1.54 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 21.9% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 3.1% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.9% 9.2% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloPisa
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack43%36%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Pisa
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%17%0%9%
Draws0%17%9%50%60%55%
Loses60%33%45%33%40%36%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLW • Pisa: DLLLDLDDDDW

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Pisa
HATHAT
GF total5914178
GF avg1.01.51.30.21.40.7
GA total661221214
GA avg1.21.01.10.32.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloPisa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%45%64%
1.536%36%27%36%
2.518%9%0%18%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloPisa
HATHAT
Clean sheets134404
Failed to score213516

Penalties

MetricSassuoloPisa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSassuoloPisa
Wins20
Draws14
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-0—
Biggest losses0-23-20-14-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloPisa
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pisa

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 1.94 (league 1.24), Pisa = 1.54 (league 1.09)

Pisa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 3.1% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.9% 9.2% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 44 , Vtod1