Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 20:00 • Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.60) 0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 30.0% 12.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panathinaikos 0 18.8% 7.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 9.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPanathinaikosSturm Graz
Played54
Form47%33%
Attack41%18%
Defense65%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Panathinaikos Sturm Graz
HATHAT
Played358224
Wins33%60%50%50%0%25%
Draws33%20%25%50%0%25%
Loses33%20%25%0%100%50%

Form: Panathinaikos: DWWDWLLW • Sturm Graz: LWLD

League goals

Metric Panathinaikos Sturm Graz
HATHAT
GF total3710213
GF avg1.01.41.31.00.50.8
GA total347145
GA avg1.00.80.90.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePanathinaikosSturm Graz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%50%75%
1.525%25%25%50%
2.513%13%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPanathinaikosSturm Graz
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricPanathinaikosSturm Graz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPanathinaikosSturm Graz
Wins21
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-42-1—
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-0
Goals For2421
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricPanathinaikosSturm Graz
Form64%36%
Att70%30%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Panathinaikos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away5.31 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Panathinaikos = 1.25 (league 1.60), Sturm Graz = 0.42 (league 1.20)

Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panathinaikos 0 18.8% 7.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 9.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 12.3%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1