Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 19:30 • Gateshead International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.84) 1.58 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 18.7% 23.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
7.0%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gateshead 0 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.4% 7.0% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGatesheadLeeds United U21
Played33
Form33%33%
Attack36%21%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.73 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 2.38 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gateshead Leeds United U21
HATHAT
Played303033
Wins33%—33%—33%33%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses67%—67%—67%67%

Form: Gateshead: LLW • Leeds United U21: LWL

League goals

Metric Gateshead Leeds United U21
HATHAT
GF total505033
GF avg1.70.01.70.01.01.0
GA total707088
GA avg2.30.02.30.02.72.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGatesheadLeeds United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%33%100%
1.567%67%33%67%
2.533%33%33%67%
3.50%33%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGatesheadLeeds United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricGatesheadLeeds United U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGatesheadLeeds United U21
Wins01
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——1-3
Biggest losses0-2——4-0
Goals For3003
Goals Against4004

Model comparison

MetricGatesheadLeeds United U21
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.4%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Leeds United U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gateshead = 2.50 (league 1.84), Leeds United U21 = 1.58 (league 1.46)

Leeds United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gateshead 0 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.3% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.4% 7.0% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1