Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:00 • Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.56) 1.89 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 22.3% 46.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Bochum
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 3.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.1% 9.7% 9.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.1% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack28%50%
Defense11%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth VfL Bochum
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%29%31%50%14%31%
Draws17%0%8%0%14%8%
Loses50%71%62%50%71%62%

Form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWL • VfL Bochum: LWLLLLLLWDWWL

League goals

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth VfL Bochum
HATHAT
GF total713209817
GF avg1.21.91.51.51.11.3
GA total13213471320
GA avg2.23.02.61.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%85%77%
1.546%77%38%54%
2.523%46%8%15%
3.58%31%0%8%
4.58%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
Wins12
Draws11
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-46-01-24-1
Goals For3532
Goals Against4624

Model comparison

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h29%71%
Goals46%54%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VfL Bochum

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Pinnacle
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 1.47 (league 1.56), VfL Bochum = 1.89 (league 1.28)

VfL Bochum
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 3.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.1% 9.7% 9.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.1% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1