Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.51) 1.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 14.1% 12.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleTamworth
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack53%40%
Defense73%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle Tamworth
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%70%65%30%50%40%
Draws30%10%20%30%10%20%
Loses10%20%15%40%40%40%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDW • Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Carlisle Tamworth
HATHAT
GF total241337101525
GF avg2.41.31.91.01.51.3
GA total101121111930
GA avg1.01.11.11.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleTamworth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%85%85%
1.555%25%35%40%
2.525%10%5%15%
3.510%5%0%10%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleTamworth
HATHAT
Clean sheets448303
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricCarlisleTamworth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCarlisleTamworth
Wins42
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-34-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleTamworth
Form79%21%
Att57%43%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Carlisle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Pinnacle
Away6.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 3.02 (league 1.51), Tamworth = 1.22 (league 1.23)

Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 12.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1