Super Liga — Serbia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:00 • Gradski Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.58) 0.31 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 36.6% 11.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
1 - 0
26.9%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Napredak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novi Pazar 0 27.5% 8.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 8.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovi PazarNapredak
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack33%33%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novi Pazar Napredak
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%25%38%13%0%6%
Draws13%50%31%25%50%38%
Loses38%25%31%63%50%56%

Form: Novi Pazar: DLWWDLWWDLWDLWLD • Napredak: LDDLDDWLLLLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Novi Pazar Napredak
HATHAT
GF total991810212
GF avg1.11.11.11.30.30.8
GA total10919221133
GA avg1.31.11.22.81.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovi PazarNapredak
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%63%50%81%
1.525%38%19%50%
2.56%6%6%38%
3.50%6%0%19%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovi PazarNapredak
HATHAT
Clean sheets426033
Failed to score033268

Penalties

MetricNovi PazarNapredak
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNovi PazarNapredak
Wins21
Draws12
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-1—
Biggest losses1-52-02-74-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against5274

Model comparison

MetricNovi PazarNapredak
Form71%29%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Novi Pazar or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away6.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Betano
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novi Pazar = 0.98 (league 1.58), Napredak = 0.31 (league 1.24)

Napredak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novi Pazar 0 27.5% 8.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 8.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1