Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Louis II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.70) 2.83 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.7% 16.0% 61.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
7.8%
0 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 1.5% 4.3% 6.1% 5.7% 4.1% 2.3%
1 2.1% 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 5.6% 5.3% 3.7% 2.1%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonacoParis Saint Germain
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack53%73%
Defense20%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monaco Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins57%33%46%83%57%69%
Draws14%17%15%17%29%23%
Loses29%50%38%0%14%8%

Form: Monaco: WLWWWLDDWWLLL • Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Monaco Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total151025121527
GF avg2.11.71.92.02.12.1
GA total1213253811
GA avg1.72.21.90.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonacoParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%92%46%
1.546%54%54%23%
2.531%31%38%15%
3.515%15%8%0%
4.515%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonacoParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets101527
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricMonacoParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMonacoParis Saint Germain
Wins34
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-23-53-03-6
Biggest losses1-44-1—1-0
Goals For5536
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricMonacoParis Saint Germain
Form32%68%
Att42%58%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h7%93%
Goals26%74%
Total26.3%73.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Betano
Draw4.61 @ 1xBet
Away1.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monaco = 1.36 (league 1.70), Paris Saint Germain = 2.83 (league 1.26)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 1.5% 4.3% 6.1% 5.7% 4.1% 2.3%
1 2.1% 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
2 1.4% 4.0% 5.6% 5.3% 3.7% 2.1%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 61.2%

Vtot 44 , Vtod1