Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.88) 1.54 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 24.6% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Sion
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.5% 8.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.5% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack50%67%
Defense58%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano FC Sion
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%43%50%29%43%36%
Draws14%0%7%29%43%36%
Loses29%57%43%43%14%29%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWL • FC Sion: WWDLWLDDWLWLDD

League goals

Metric FC Lugano FC Sion
HATHAT
GF total1181991322
GF avg1.61.11.41.31.91.6
GA total8122081119
GA avg1.11.71.41.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoFC Sion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%64%71%
1.529%43%50%57%
2.514%21%36%7%
3.57%7%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score022415

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-44-02-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-22-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Form64%36%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : FC Lugano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.36 (league 1.88), FC Sion = 1.54 (league 1.36)

FC Sion
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.5% 8.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.5% 11.5% 8.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1