HNL — Croatia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:15 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.44) 1.21 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 23.1% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.7% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack31%56%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%14%36%57%29%43%
Draws29%29%29%29%14%21%
Loses14%57%36%14%57%36%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWL • NK Slaven Belupo: LWLLWWLLWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
GF total951413821
GF avg1.30.71.01.91.11.5
GA total8101871421
GA avg1.11.41.31.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%79%93%
1.529%36%43%36%
2.50%14%21%14%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
Wins12
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-24-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
Form44%56%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Slaven Belupo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 1.81 (league 1.44), NK Slaven Belupo = 1.21 (league 1.00)

NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.7% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1