J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 05:00 • Nissan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.32) 1.80 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 22.4% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cerezo Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yokohama F. Marinos 0 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.3% 9.5% 8.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack93%71%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Cerezo Osaka
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins33%28%31%44%33%39%
Draws28%11%19%33%22%28%
Loses39%61%50%22%44%33%

Form: Yokohama F. Marinos: DLDDWLLDDLLLLLLLWWLLLDWWLWDLLWLWLWWW • Cerezo Osaka: WLLDDLDWLWDLLWWWLWDWDWLDWLDDWDLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Cerezo Osaka
HATHAT
GF total222042263258
GF avg1.21.11.21.41.81.6
GA total202444183351
GA avg1.11.31.21.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%69%83%86%
1.533%33%42%47%
2.525%19%22%8%
3.53%0%11%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311415
Failed to score8816156

Penalties

MetricYokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricYokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
Wins23
Draws22
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-22-5
Biggest losses0-33-11-23-0
Goals For4345
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricYokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
Form57%43%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Yokohama F. Marinos or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Unibet
No2.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Yokohama F. Marinos = 1.64 (league 1.32), Cerezo Osaka = 1.80 (league 1.10)

Cerezo Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yokohama F. Marinos 0 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.3% 9.5% 8.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1