J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 05:00 • Denka Big Swan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.32) 2.48 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 16.1% 69.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.2%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kashiwa Reysol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albirex Niigata 0 3.7% 9.0% 11.2% 9.3% 5.7% 2.8%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlbirex NiigataKashiwa Reysol
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack50%93%
Defense7%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Albirex Niigata Kashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins11%11%11%61%44%53%
Draws50%11%31%28%39%33%
Loses39%78%58%11%17%14%

Form: Albirex Niigata: DLLDDLDLWDLDWLDLWLWLLLLLLDLLLLDLDLDL • Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWLDDDWDWDWWWWLDLWDWWLWLWWDDDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Albirex Niigata Kashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
GF total191534263056
GF avg1.10.80.91.41.71.6
GA total283563151833
GA avg1.61.91.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlbirex NiigataKashiwa Reysol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%86%89%50%
1.525%53%42%22%
2.53%25%14%17%
3.50%8%8%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlbirex NiigataKashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
Clean sheets32510818
Failed to score6612224

Penalties

MetricAlbirex NiigataKashiwa Reysol
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAlbirex NiigataKashiwa Reysol
Wins14
Draws24
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-20-5
Biggest losses0-45-21-33-0
Goals For3245
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricAlbirex NiigataKashiwa Reysol
Form13%87%
Att35%65%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kashiwa Reysol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.78 @ Pinnacle
Away1.58 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Albirex Niigata = 0.83 (league 1.32), Kashiwa Reysol = 2.48 (league 1.10)

Kashiwa Reysol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Albirex Niigata 0 3.7% 9.0% 11.2% 9.3% 5.7% 2.8%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 69.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1