J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 05:00 • City Light Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.32) 0.66 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 33.5% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
18.7%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Urawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fagiano Okayama 0 18.7% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFagiano OkayamaUrawa
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack29%7%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fagiano Okayama Urawa
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins39%22%31%67%11%39%
Draws22%28%25%17%44%31%
Loses39%50%44%17%44%31%

Form: Fagiano Okayama: WLWDLDWLWWLDLLDLWDDLWWLLWWWLLLDLDLLD • Urawa: DDLLWDDWLWWWWWLDWDLDWLWDWWLWLLDDWLDL

League goals

Metric Fagiano Okayama Urawa
HATHAT
GF total171532241640
GF avg0.90.80.91.30.91.1
GA total152641122739
GA avg0.81.41.10.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFagiano OkayamaUrawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%69%64%67%
1.522%28%36%25%
2.53%8%8%11%
3.50%6%3%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFagiano OkayamaUrawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets74118412
Failed to score67136713

Penalties

MetricFagiano OkayamaUrawa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFagiano OkayamaUrawa
Wins35
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-24-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricFagiano OkayamaUrawa
Form29%71%
Att80%20%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Urawa and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fagiano Okayama = 1.02 (league 1.32), Urawa = 0.66 (league 1.10)

Urawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fagiano Okayama 0 18.7% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1