Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.21)
0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | 32.3% | 16.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
19.5%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Málaga II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lorca Deportiva | 0 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 27% |
| Attack | 57% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 33% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Lorca Deportiva: DLLDLDWWWWWW • Málaga II: LLDDLLLLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 8% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lorca Deportiva | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 74.3% | 25.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Lorca Deportiva or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lorca Deportiva = 1.13 (league 1.21), Málaga II = 0.51 (league 0.98)
| Málaga II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lorca Deportiva | 0 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 16.6%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1