Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Anco Marzio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.31) 0.83 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 24.5% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Notaresco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ostia Mare 0 8.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.9% 11.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOstia MareNotaresco
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%60%
Defense90%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ostia Mare Notaresco
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%100%92%43%67%54%
Draws17%0%8%14%33%23%
Loses0%0%0%43%0%23%

Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWW • Notaresco: WDWWWLDWWWDLL

League goals

Metric Ostia Mare Notaresco
HATHAT
GF total16163281220
GF avg2.72.32.51.12.01.5
GA total3369514
GA avg0.50.40.51.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOstia MareNotaresco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%46%85%62%
1.577%0%38%38%
2.546%0%15%8%
3.58%0%15%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOstia MareNotaresco
HATHAT
Clean sheets347235
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricOstia MareNotaresco
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricOstia MareNotaresco
Wins93
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-32-01-4
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For7324
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricOstia MareNotaresco
Form65%35%
Att71%29%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Winner : Ostia Mare

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away5.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 1.65 (league 1.31), Notaresco = 0.83 (league 1.21)

Notaresco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ostia Mare 0 8.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.9% 11.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1