Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:30 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.62) 1.20 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 23.7% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack20%80%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins40%0%18%100%33%64%
Draws20%33%27%0%17%9%
Loses40%67%55%0%50%27%

Form: Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLLDL • VfB Stuttgart: LWLWWWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
GF total72991120
GF avg1.40.30.81.81.81.8
GA total5121731215
GA avg1.02.01.50.62.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%73%100%64%
1.518%36%55%45%
2.59%18%27%27%
3.59%18%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
Wins15
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—2-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-0—3-1
Goals For4133
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
Form9%91%
Att20%80%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%100%
Goals30%70%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 1.73 (league 1.62), VfB Stuttgart = 1.20 (league 1.50)

VfB Stuttgart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 5.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 26.3%

vtt 46 , vtd1