Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:15 • Stade du Moustoir
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.71) 2.04 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 17.5% 26.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
5 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorientNice
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack20%40%
Defense47%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorient Nice
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%0%15%57%17%38%
Draws50%29%38%14%17%15%
Loses17%71%46%29%67%46%

Form: Lorient: LWLLDWLDLDLDD • Nice: LWLWLDDWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Lorient Nice
HATHAT
GF total1321511718
GF avg2.20.31.21.61.21.4
GA total131427101323
GA avg2.22.02.11.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorientNice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%92%85%85%
1.523%46%38%46%
2.523%31%15%23%
3.58%15%0%15%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorientNice
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score055112

Penalties

MetricLorientNice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLorientNice
Wins13
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—3-11-2
Biggest losses1-74-01-54-1
Goals For4132
Goals Against7454

Model comparison

MetricLorientNice
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nice

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lorient = 2.83 (league 1.71), Nice = 2.04 (league 1.29)

Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
2 3.1% 6.3% 6.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
5 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 27 , Vtod18