Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.22) 0.75 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 38.4% 34.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 24.9% 18.7% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernanaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack75%50%
Defense38%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins57%25%40%43%50%47%
Draws29%50%40%29%13%20%
Loses14%25%20%29%38%33%

Form: Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDW • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLD

League goals

Metric Ternana Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total910195712
GF avg1.31.31.30.70.90.8
GA total6814459
GA avg0.91.00.90.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernanaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%67%33%
1.533%13%13%27%
2.513%7%0%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernanaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets2245510
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricTernanaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTernanaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins22
Draws41
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-21-00-22-1
Goals For2422
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricTernanaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ternana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 10Bet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away5.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 0.64 (league 1.22), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.75 (league 1.08)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 24.9% 18.7% 7.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 11.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 34.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1