Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.23) 0.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.6% 35.1% 20.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 21.7% 12.0% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaNapoli
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack73%64%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Napoli
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%83%75%83%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%17%0%8%
Loses33%17%25%0%50%25%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWW • Napoli: WWWWLWLWWDLW

League goals

Metric AS Roma Napoli
HATHAT
GF total781512719
GF avg1.21.31.32.01.21.6
GA total3365611
GA avg0.50.50.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaNapoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%67%
1.542%0%50%25%
2.58%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaNapoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricAS RomaNapoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAS RomaNapoli
Wins34
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-11-0—2-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaNapoli
Form55%45%
Att53%47%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AS Roma or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.99 @ 1xBet
Away3.14 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 0.97 (league 1.23), Napoli = 0.55 (league 1.09)

Napoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 21.7% 12.0% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 20.3%

Vtot 43 , Vtod1