Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.56) 0.43 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.9% 18.6% 7.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
17.7%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Walter Ferretti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 9.2% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal EstelíWalter Ferretti
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%60%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Estelí Walter Ferretti
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%33%50%67%11%39%
Draws33%33%33%11%44%28%
Loses0%33%17%22%44%33%

Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDWDLDWWL • Walter Ferretti: WLWWDDDLWDWLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Real Estelí Walter Ferretti
HATHAT
GF total16102622931
GF avg1.81.11.42.41.01.7
GA total41014111526
GA avg0.41.10.81.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal EstelíWalter Ferretti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%72%83%
1.533%17%39%50%
2.522%6%33%11%
3.511%0%17%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal EstelíWalter Ferretti
HATHAT
Clean sheets628213
Failed to score314145

Penalties

MetricReal EstelíWalter Ferretti
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricReal EstelíWalter Ferretti
Wins32
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-36-21-4
Biggest losses3-11-23-0
Goals For4364
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricReal EstelíWalter Ferretti
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total67.0%33.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Estelí or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ 10Bet
Draw5.46 @ 1xBet
Away13.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 1.97 (league 1.56), Walter Ferretti = 0.43 (league 0.94)

Walter Ferretti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 9.2% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.0% 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1