Coppa Italia — Italy
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 20:00 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.55) 0.05 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioAC Milan
Played02
Form0%100%
Attack0%31%
Defense0%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

18%
FT probability

2.5+

13%
FT probability

3.5+

9%
FT probability

BTTS

25%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio AC Milan
HATHAT
Played000202
Wins———100%—100%
Draws———0%—0%
Loses———0%—0%

Form: Lazio: • AC Milan: WW

League goals

Metric Lazio AC Milan
HATHAT
GF total000505
GF avg0.00.00.02.50.02.5
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioAC Milan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5——100%0%
1.5——100%0%
2.5——50%0%
3.5——0%0%
4.5——0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioAC Milan
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLazioAC Milan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLazioAC Milan
Wins02
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0030
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricLazioAC Milan
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total32.5%67.5%

Advice: Winner : AC Milan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ SBO
Under 2.51.62 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 0.05 (league 1.55), AC Milan = 0.05 (league 0.68)

AC Milan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1