Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.45) 0.84 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 26.8% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 10.1% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Lima
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack67%100%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Alianza Lima
HATHAT
Played181836181735
Wins72%39%56%61%53%57%
Draws11%22%17%28%18%23%
Loses17%39%28%11%29%20%

Form: Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLWLLWWW • Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Alianza Lima
HATHAT
GF total372663361753
GF avg2.11.41.82.01.01.5
GA total142438131730
GA avg0.81.31.10.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalAlianza Lima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%64%80%54%
1.556%28%43%20%
2.525%11%20%9%
3.511%3%6%3%
4.56%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Lima
HATHAT
Clean sheets85139716
Failed to score358347

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Lima
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total810

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Lima
Wins43
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-45-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-13-43-0
Goals For5452
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalAlianza Lima
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Lima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No2.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting Cristal = 1.45 (league 1.45), Alianza Lima = 0.84 (league 0.95)

Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 10.1% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1