Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Amahoro
Match Finished

APR

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.19) 0.31 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 21.8% 6.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 13.7% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPREtincelles
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack100%38%
Defense25%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APR Etincelles
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins100%20%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%60%38%80%100%88%
Loses0%20%13%20%0%13%

Form: APR: WWDDWLWD • Etincelles: DLDDDDDD

League goals

Metric APR Etincelles
HATHAT
GF total6612134
GF avg2.01.21.50.21.00.5
GA total167336
GA avg0.31.20.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPREtincelles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%50%63%
1.550%13%0%13%
2.513%13%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPREtincelles
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score011404

Penalties

MetricAPREtincelles
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAPREtincelles
Wins20
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2——
Biggest losses—3-20-2—
Goals For3211
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricAPREtincelles
Form62%38%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Winner : APR

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Unibet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away9.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.67 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APR = 1.68 (league 1.19), Etincelles = 0.31 (league 0.97)

Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 13.7% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 6.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1