Cup — Poland
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:30 • Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 0.05 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 32.9% 1.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
34.8%
0 - 0
31.2%
2 - 0
19.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piast Gliwice 0 31.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPiast GliwiceLech Poznan
Played21
Form100%100%
Attack19%13%
Defense100%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played022011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Piast Gliwice: WW • Lech Poznan: W

League goals

Metric Piast Gliwice Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total033022
GF avg0.01.51.50.02.02.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePiast GliwiceLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.550%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPiast GliwiceLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPiast GliwiceLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPiast GliwiceLech Poznan
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0202
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricPiast GliwiceLech Poznan
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.8%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Piast Gliwice or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Piast Gliwice = 1.12 (league 1.34), Lech Poznan = 0.05 (league 1.66)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piast Gliwice 0 31.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 1.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1