Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:45 • Pittodrie Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.55) 0.56 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 31.6% 17.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberdeen 0 17.9% 10.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAberdeenST Mirren
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack83%67%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aberdeen ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins29%50%38%14%17%15%
Draws29%0%15%43%17%31%
Loses43%50%46%43%67%54%

Form: Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWLWDWW • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Aberdeen ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total7310459
GF avg1.00.50.80.60.80.7
GA total661281119
GA avg0.91.00.91.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAberdeenST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%54%85%
1.58%38%15%38%
2.58%0%0%23%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAberdeenST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets336202
Failed to score336426

Penalties

MetricAberdeenST Mirren
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAberdeenST Mirren
Wins22
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-11-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-33-1
Goals For4122
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAberdeenST Mirren
Form91%9%
Att56%44%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aberdeen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aberdeen = 1.16 (league 1.55), ST Mirren = 0.56 (league 1.28)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberdeen 0 17.9% 10.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 17.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1