Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 20:15 • Elland Road
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.55) 2.15 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 17.8% 70.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 1
13.5%
0 - 3
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 6.2% 13.5% 14.5% 10.4% 5.6% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.3% 9.0% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsChelsea
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack33%44%
Defense33%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Chelsea
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%43%67%54%
Draws33%0%15%29%17%23%
Loses33%86%62%29%17%23%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLL • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Leeds Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total7613101424
GF avg1.20.91.01.42.31.8
GA total718257512
GA avg1.22.61.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%92%54%
1.531%62%54%31%
2.58%31%23%8%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricLeedsChelsea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeedsChelsea
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-01-5
Biggest losses1-25-01-32-1
Goals For2335
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricLeedsChelsea
Form23%77%
Att43%57%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals41%59%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.02 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 0.62 (league 1.55), Chelsea = 2.15 (league 1.28)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 6.2% 13.5% 14.5% 10.4% 5.6% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.3% 9.0% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 70.6%

Vtot 27 , Vtod12