HNL — Croatia
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 17:00 • Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.44) 1.30 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 23.6% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Slaven Belupo 0 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.4% 10.9% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack75%58%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Slaven Belupo HNK Gorica
HATHAT
Played78159615
Wins57%25%40%33%33%33%
Draws29%25%27%11%33%20%
Loses14%50%33%56%33%47%

Form: NK Slaven Belupo: LWLLWWLLWDWDDWD • HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWL

League goals

Metric NK Slaven Belupo HNK Gorica
HATHAT
GF total1392211819
GF avg1.91.11.51.21.31.3
GA total7152215823
GA avg1.01.91.51.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%93%73%93%
1.540%33%33%40%
2.520%13%13%20%
3.57%7%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
Wins22
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-32-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Gorica
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals76%24%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : NK Slaven Belupo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 10Bet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Slaven Belupo = 1.72 (league 1.44), HNK Gorica = 1.30 (league 1.00)

HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Slaven Belupo 0 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.4% 10.9% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1