National 1 — France
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 18:30 • Stade Guy Piriou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.31) 0.36 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.8% 8.5% 2.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
15.6%
4 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Stade Briochin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConcarneauStade Briochin
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack60%30%
Defense80%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Concarneau Stade Briochin
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins60%25%38%14%0%8%
Draws20%50%38%29%17%23%
Loses20%25%23%57%83%69%

Form: Concarneau: DWDWLLLWWDDWD • Stade Briochin: LLDLWDLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Concarneau Stade Briochin
HATHAT
GF total76135611
GF avg1.40.81.00.71.00.8
GA total2101281725
GA avg0.41.30.91.12.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConcarneauStade Briochin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%62%92%
1.531%15%23%62%
2.515%15%0%31%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConcarneauStade Briochin
HATHAT
Clean sheets336101
Failed to score246325

Penalties

MetricConcarneauStade Briochin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricConcarneauStade Briochin
Wins21
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-1—
Biggest losses0-14-01-24-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricConcarneauStade Briochin
Form90%10%
Att67%33%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h93%7%
Goals64%36%
Total81.0%19.0%

Advice: Winner : Concarneau

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away4.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Concarneau = 2.99 (league 1.31), Stade Briochin = 0.36 (league 1.10)

Stade Briochin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Concarneau 0 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.8% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 2.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1