Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.55) 0.78 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 26.4% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 10.4% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.5% 12.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaCrotone
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack38%31%
Defense81%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Crotone
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins88%38%63%44%43%44%
Draws13%38%25%11%29%19%
Loses0%25%13%44%29%38%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDDWWWWDWLWW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Catania Crotone
HATHAT
GF total18927111223
GF avg2.31.11.71.21.71.4
GA total0887714
GA avg0.01.00.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%25%63%56%
1.544%13%44%25%
2.519%6%31%6%
3.513%6%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412437
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricCataniaCrotone
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCataniaCrotone
Wins42
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-00-4
Biggest losses—4-11-22-0
Goals For6334
Goals Against0423

Model comparison

MetricCataniaCrotone
Form59%41%
Att55%45%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total43.8%56.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Catania or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Unibet
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away4.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 1.48 (league 1.55), Crotone = 0.78 (league 1.09)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 10.4% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.5% 12.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1