Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Romano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.38) 0.52 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 34.5% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 0
21.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 21.6% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.9% 11.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMérida ADOurense CF
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack83%83%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mérida AD Ourense CF
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%14%43%43%14%29%
Draws14%29%21%14%71%43%
Loses14%57%36%43%14%29%

Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDWD • Ourense CF: DDLLLDDLDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Mérida AD Ourense CF
HATHAT
GF total1462011415
GF avg2.00.91.41.60.61.1
GA total6131910515
GA avg0.91.91.41.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMérida ADOurense CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%64%50%
1.550%43%21%36%
2.521%21%14%21%
3.50%7%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMérida ADOurense CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets415347
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricMérida ADOurense CF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMérida ADOurense CF
Wins21
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses2-43-01-33-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricMérida ADOurense CF
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mérida AD or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 1.02 (league 1.38), Ourense CF = 0.52 (league 1.04)

Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 21.6% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.9% 11.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1