Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:15 • Stadion Galgenwaard
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.72) 1.12 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 23.7% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Twente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 5.8% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.2% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUtrechtTwente
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack41%29%
Defense53%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utrecht Twente
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%14%43%43%29%36%
Draws14%29%21%29%43%36%
Loses14%57%36%29%29%29%

Form: Utrecht: WLWWLLDLWLWWDD • Twente: LLWLDWWWDLDDDW

League goals

Metric Utrecht Twente
HATHAT
GF total16925101222
GF avg2.31.31.81.41.71.6
GA total6131910919
GA avg0.91.91.41.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUtrechtTwente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%71%86%
1.557%36%50%36%
2.521%14%21%14%
3.514%7%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUtrechtTwente
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricUtrechtTwente
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricUtrechtTwente
Wins23
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-21-5
Biggest losses0-14-10-21-0
Goals For4235
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricUtrechtTwente
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Utrecht or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utrecht = 1.73 (league 1.72), Twente = 1.12 (league 1.37)

Twente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrecht 0 5.8% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.2% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1