Pavia vs USD Casatese

Serie D - Girone B — Italy

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Fortunati

Match Finished

Pavia

3 - 3

USD Casatese

Expected Goals

0.64 (league 1.41) 2.12 (league 1.21)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
10.0%	18.3%	69.6%

best score tips

0 - 2

14.2%

0 - 1

13.3%

0 - 3

10.0%

Score & goals probability table

		USD Casatese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pavia	0	6.3%	13.3%	14.2%	10.0%	5.3%	2.3%
	1	4.0%	8.6%	9.1%	6.5%	3.4%	1.5%
	2	1.3%	2.8%	2.9%	2.1%	1.1%	0.5%
	3	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Pavia	USD Casatese
Played	5	5
Form	33%	87%
Attack	46%	92%
Defense	62%	69%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Pavia			USD Casatese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	7	14	7	7	14
Wins	14%	14%	14%	57%	43%	50%
Draws	29%	29%	29%	29%	57%	43%
Loses	57%	57%	57%	14%	0%	7%

Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLL • USD Casatese: DLDDWWWDDWDWWW

League goals

Metric	Pavia			USD Casatese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	9	6	15	14	11	25
GF avg	1.3	0.9	1.1	2.0	1.6	1.8
GA total	11	14	25	8	5	13
GA avg	1.6	2.0	1.8	1.1	0.7	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Pavia		USD Casatese
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	71%	86%	71%
1.5	21%	57%	50%	14%
2.5	7%	36%	29%	7%
3.5	7%	7%	14%	0%
4.5	0%	7%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Pavia			USD Casatese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	2	2	4
Failed to score	2	2	4	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Pavia	USD Casatese
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Pavia	USD Casatese
Wins	1	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-1	4-1	0-3
Biggest losses	2-5	3-0	1-3	—
Goals For	4	2	4	3
Goals Against	5	3	3	1

Model comparison

Metric	Pavia	USD Casatese
Form	28%	72%
Att	33%	67%
Def	44%	56%
Poisson Distribution	28%	72%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	33.3%	66.8%

Advice: Winner : USD Casatese

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Betano

Draw3.44 @ Marathonbet

Away1.97 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet

No1.99 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.24
Draw	3.44
Away	1.95

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.48
Draw	2.45
Away	2.33

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.95
Away -1	1.07
Home -0.75	3.98
Away -0.75	1.17
Home -0.25	2.74
Away -0.25	1.35
Home +0	2.42
Away +0	1.48
Home +0.25	1.95
Away +0.25	1.69
Home +0.75	1.53
Away +0.75	2.21
Home +1	1.33
Away +1	2.83
Home +2	1.05
Away +2	6.60
Home -1.5	6.85
Away -1.5	1.04
Home +1.25	1.26
Away +1.25	3.20
Home +1.5	1.21
Away +1.5	3.58
Home +2.5	1.03
Away +2.5	7.40

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.25
Under 1.5	3.28
Over 1.75	1.30
Under 1.75	2.97
Over 2.0	1.39
Under 2.0	2.59
Over 2.25	1.60
Under 2.25	2.08
Over 2.5	1.84
Under 2.5	1.85
Over 2.75	2.03
Under 2.75	1.63
Over 3.5	3.05
Under 3.5	1.28
Over 1.0	1.02
Under 1.0	8.10
Over 3.0	2.43
Under 3.0	1.44
Over 3.25	2.74
Under 3.25	1.35
Over 3.75	3.74
Under 3.75	1.19
Over 4.0	5.00
Under 4.0	1.10

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.67
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	2.88
Over 1.0	1.77
Under 1.0	1.92

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.06
Under 1.5	1.66
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 1.0	1.40
Under 1.0	2.60

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.70
No	1.96

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.85
Away -1	1.25
Draw -1	4.70
Home +1	1.67
Draw +1	3.50
Away +1	3.58

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.67
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.25

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.85
Draw	2.15
Away	2.51

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.34
Draw	9.30
Away	1.70

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.33
Draw	9.30
Away	1.71

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.80
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 1	1.86
Under 1	1.82
Over 2	5.80
Under 2	1.07

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.99
Under 1.5	1.71
Over 1	1.35
Under 1	2.84
Over 2	3.22
Under 2	1.28

1xBet Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.30
Draw	3.44
Away	1.97

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.60
Draw	2.45
Away	2.35

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.95
Away -1	1.07
Home -0.75	3.98
Away -0.75	1.17
Home -0.25	2.74
Away -0.25	1.35
Home +0	2.42
Away +0	1.48
Home +0.25	1.95
Away +0.25	1.69
Home +0.75	1.53
Away +0.75	2.21
Home +1	1.33
Away +1	2.83
Home +2	1.05
Away +2	6.60
Home -1.5	6.85
Away -1.5	1.04
Home +1.25	1.26
Away +1.25	3.20
Home +1.5	1.21
Away +1.5	3.58
Home +2.5	1.03
Away +2.5	7.40

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.25
Under 1.5	3.28
Over 1.75	1.30
Under 1.75	2.97
Over 2.0	1.39
Under 2.0	2.59
Over 2.25	1.60
Under 2.25	2.08
Over 2.5	1.84
Under 2.5	1.85
Over 2.75	2.03
Under 2.75	1.63
Over 3.5	3.05
Under 3.5	1.28
Over 0.5	1.02
Under 0.5	8.80
Over 1.0	1.02
Under 1.0	8.10
Over 3.0	2.43
Under 3.0	1.44
Over 4.5	5.70
Under 4.5	1.10
Over 3.25	2.74
Under 3.25	1.35
Over 3.75	3.74
Under 3.75	1.19
Over 4.0	5.00
Under 4.0	1.10
Over 5.5	9.10
Under 5.5	1.03

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.67
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 2.0	5.30
Under 2.0	1.12
Over 2.5	6.40
Under 2.5	1.08
Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	2.88
Over 0.75	1.48
Under 0.75	2.40
Over 1.0	1.77
Under 1.0	1.92
Over 1.25	2.23
Under 1.25	1.55

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.06
Under 1.5	1.66
Over 1.75	2.48
Under 1.75	1.45
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 2.5	4.20
Under 2.5	1.19
Over 0.5	1.21
Under 0.5	3.90
Over 1.0	1.40
Under 1.0	2.60
Over 1.25	1.74
Under 1.25	1.93

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	15.50
Home/Away	22.00
Draw/Away	5.50
Draw/Draw	5.10
Home/Home	5.40
Draw/Home	8.00
Away/Home	31.00
Away/Draw	15.50
Away/Away	3.20

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.70
No	1.99

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	7.00
2:0	12.00
2:1	7.80
3:0	35.00
3:1	21.00
3:2	26.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	70.00
0:0	9.00
1:1	4.30
2:2	9.20
0:1	4.90
0:2	6.00
0:3	11.00
1:2	5.60
1:3	9.80
2:3	17.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	26.00
1:4	24.00
2:4	45.00
4:2	90.00
0:5	80.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	70.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.42
1st Half	2.96
2nd Half	2.04

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.67
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.25

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.01
Draw	2.15
Away	2.53

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.95
Under 1.5	1.35
Over 2.5	7.10
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 1	1.90
Under 1	1.80
Over 2	6.00
Under 2	1.09
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.65

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.95
Under 1.5	1.75
Over 2.5	4.20
Under 2.5	1.19
Over 3.5	10.50
Under 3.5	1.01
Over 1	1.35
Under 1	2.90
Over 2	3.15
Under 2	1.30
Over 0.5	1.18
Under 0.5	4.20

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.98
Away -0.25	1.31
Home +0	2.25
Away +0	1.53
Home +0.25	1.65
Away +0.25	2.03
Home +1	1.07
Away +1	5.75

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.38
Home/Away	1.52
Draw/Away	1.16

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.44
Home/Away	1.40
Draw/Away	1.20

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.15
No	1.18

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.14
No	1.30

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.81
Even	1.83

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.96
Even	1.70

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.67

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.87
Even	1.77

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.86
Away -0.25	1.33
Home +0	2.27
Away +0	1.52
Home +0.25	1.74
Away +0.25	1.91
Home +1	1.13
Away +1	4.50

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.25
Under 0.5	1.53

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.82
Under 0.5	1.82

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.92
Under 0.5	1.73

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.59
Under 0.5	2.13

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.75

Betano Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.40
Draw	3.35
Away	1.93

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	2.42
Away	1.44

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.55
Draw	2.47
Away	2.25

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0.25	1.72
Away +0.25	1.88
Home +0.5	1.75
Away +0.5	1.85

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.82
Under 2.5	1.83

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.50
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 1.0	1.78
Under 1.0	1.75

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	14.00
Home/Away	24.00
Draw/Away	4.75
Draw/Draw	5.10
Home/Home	5.80
Draw/Home	7.50
Away/Home	37.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	3.05

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	8.00
2:0	13.50
2:1	9.00
3:0	30.00
3:1	20.00
3:2	24.00
4:0	90.00
4:1	60.00
0:0	10.25
1:1	5.40
2:2	10.25
0:1	6.00
0:2	7.30
0:3	12.50
1:2	6.60
1:3	11.00
2:3	17.50
3:3	37.00
0:4	26.00
1:4	24.00
2:4	37.00
4:2	70.00
0:5	65.00
0:6	200.00
1:5	60.00
1:6	175.00
2:5	90.00
2:6	300.00
3:4	80.00
5:0	300.00
5:1	200.00
5:2	250.00
6:1	500.00
4:3	110.00
3:5	200.00
5:3	400.00
4:4	250.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.25
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.00
2:0	11.50
2:1	15.00
3:0	45.00
3:1	60.00
3:2	120.00
4:0	200.00
4:1	200.00
0:0	2.27
1:1	5.10
2:2	32.00
0:1	3.05
0:2	6.70
0:3	20.00
1:2	11.25
1:3	32.00
2:3	90.00
0:4	70.00
1:4	120.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.70
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.26

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.90
Draw	2.10
Away	2.52

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home +0.25	1.62
Away +0.25	1.95

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.42
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.22

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.22
Away	1.50

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.25
Away	1.47

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Pavia vs USD Casatese

Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.64 (league 1.41), USD Casatese = 2.12 (league 1.21)

		USD Casatese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pavia	0	6.3%	13.3%	14.2%	10.0%	5.3%	2.3%
	1	4.0%	8.6%	9.1%	6.5%	3.4%	1.5%
	2	1.3%	2.8%	2.9%	2.1%	1.1%	0.5%
	3	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 69.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Pavia	USD Casatese
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0