Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.26)
0.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 33.1% | 11.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.9%
0 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.9% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 54% | 23% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 14% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 14% | 57% | 36% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
| Loses | 43% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 57% | 50% |
Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDD • Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 50% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 14% | 7% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 72.0% | 28.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 1.11 (league 1.26), Sansepolcro = 0.35 (league 1.04)
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.9% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 11.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1