Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio da Torrinha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.31) 0.53 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.5% 52.2% 34.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.0%
0 - 1
24.5%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Louletano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moncarapachense 0 46.0% 24.5% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.2% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoncarapachenseLouletano
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack20%20%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moncarapachense Louletano
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%60%20%40%
Draws60%40%50%20%80%50%
Loses20%40%30%20%0%10%

Form: Moncarapachense: LDWDDDWLLD • Louletano: WDWWDDDLDW

League goals

Metric Moncarapachense Louletano
HATHAT
GF total4377411
GF avg0.80.60.71.40.81.1
GA total448426
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoncarapachenseLouletano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%60%40%
1.520%10%30%20%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoncarapachenseLouletano
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricMoncarapachenseLouletano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMoncarapachenseLouletano
Wins12
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-2—
Goals For2233
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricMoncarapachenseLouletano
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Moncarapachense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away1.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Moncarapachense = 0.24 (league 1.31), Louletano = 0.53 (league 1.20)

Louletano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moncarapachense 0 46.0% 24.5% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.2% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 52.2% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1