Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Capitao Josino da Costa
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.31)
0.80 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 29.0% | 23.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Oriental Lisboa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagoa | 0 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 33% |
| Defense | 73% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
Form: Lagoa: LLLDDDDWWD • Oriental Lisboa: WDDLWWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 70% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lagoa | Oriental Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Lagoa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lagoa = 1.28 (league 1.31), Oriental Lisboa = 0.80 (league 1.20)
| Oriental Lisboa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagoa | 0 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 23.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1