Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:30 • AEL FC Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.48) 2.83 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.9% 11.9% 75.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.4%
0 - 3
11.7%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Panathinaikos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 3.1% 8.7% 12.4% 11.7% 8.3% 4.7%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.6% 5.3% 3.0%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarisaPanathinaikos
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack25%56%
Defense44%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larisa Panathinaikos
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins0%17%8%50%40%45%
Draws33%33%33%33%20%27%
Loses67%50%58%17%40%27%

Form: Larisa: LDDDDLLWLLLL • Panathinaikos: DLDWWDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Larisa Panathinaikos
HATHAT
GF total56119817
GF avg0.81.00.91.51.61.5
GA total139226612
GA avg2.21.51.81.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarisaPanathinaikos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%91%73%
1.525%58%55%18%
2.50%17%9%18%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarisaPanathinaikos
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricLarisaPanathinaikos
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLarisaPanathinaikos
Wins12
Draws41
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-00-3
Biggest losses2-53-02-33-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricLarisaPanathinaikos
Form25%75%
Att31%69%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Winner : Panathinaikos

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.69 @ Pinnacle
Away1.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.11 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larisa = 0.65 (league 1.48), Panathinaikos = 2.83 (league 1.24)

Panathinaikos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 3.1% 8.7% 12.4% 11.7% 8.3% 4.7%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.0% 7.6% 5.3% 3.0%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 75.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1