Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.48) 1.30 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 25.9% 35.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Trival Valderas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Móstoles 0 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMóstolesTrival Valderas
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Móstoles Trival Valderas
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%50%67%33%33%33%
Draws0%33%17%33%0%17%
Loses17%17%17%33%67%50%

Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWW • Trival Valderas: WLLLLWLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Móstoles Trival Valderas
HATHAT
GF total1010207815
GF avg1.71.71.71.21.31.3
GA total77146713
GA avg1.21.21.21.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMóstolesTrival Valderas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%83%67%
1.542%33%25%42%
2.533%8%17%0%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMóstolesTrival Valderas
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricMóstolesTrival Valderas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMóstolesTrival Valderas
Wins41
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-31-00-22-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricMóstolesTrival Valderas
Form60%40%
Att53%47%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 1.38 (league 1.48), Trival Valderas = 1.30 (league 1.20)

Trival Valderas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Móstoles 0 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 35.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1