Bundesliga — Germany
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:30 • SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.61) 1.27 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 26.3% 34.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
9.9%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 7.4% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack40%65%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%57%58%50%67%58%
Draws40%29%33%0%33%17%
Loses0%14%8%50%0%25%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWDDW • 1899 Hoffenheim: WLWLDLWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund 1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
GF total91221111425
GF avg1.81.71.81.82.32.1
GA total471110717
GA avg0.81.00.91.71.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%92%83%
1.550%25%58%33%
2.525%17%50%17%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
HATHAT
Clean sheets336112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
Wins44
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses—2-11-4—
Goals For3334
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricBorussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
Form46%54%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 1xBet
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Pinnacle
No2.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 1.34 (league 1.61), 1899 Hoffenheim = 1.27 (league 1.45)

1899 Hoffenheim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 7.4% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 34.9%

vtt 36 , vtd1