Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:00 • Barradao
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.31) 0.86 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 27.9% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sao Paulo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 11.0% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitoriaSao Paulo
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack38%46%
Defense62%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitoria Sao Paulo
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%11%27%53%22%38%
Draws33%32%32%21%28%24%
Loses22%58%41%26%50%38%

Form: Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLWWLLWDDWWL • Sao Paulo: DDDDWDDLWLLLLDWWWWWDWLWLLWLLLWWDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Vitoria Sao Paulo
HATHAT
GF total201434271643
GF avg1.10.70.91.40.91.2
GA total153752172946
GA avg0.81.91.40.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitoriaSao Paulo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%70%65%68%
1.527%38%46%35%
2.55%14%5%14%
3.50%8%0%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitoriaSao Paulo
HATHAT
Clean sheets74118412
Failed to score510155813

Penalties

MetricVitoriaSao Paulo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricVitoriaSao Paulo
Wins25
Draws34
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-28-01-36-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2836

Model comparison

MetricVitoriaSao Paulo
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals15%85%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : Vitoria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away5.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Unibet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitoria = 1.35 (league 1.31), Sao Paulo = 0.86 (league 0.84)

Sao Paulo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 11.0% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1