Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio João Cardoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.09 (league 1.37) 2.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.7% 8.4% 86.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
23.0%
0 - 3
20.0%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 6.8% 17.6% 23.0% 20.0% 13.0% 6.8%
1 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaFC Porto
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack23%46%
Defense31%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela FC Porto
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins0%29%17%83%100%92%
Draws40%14%25%17%0%8%
Loses60%57%58%0%0%0%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLW • FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Tondela FC Porto
HATHAT
GF total257111425
GF avg0.40.70.61.82.32.1
GA total71320123
GA avg1.41.91.70.20.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaFC Porto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%83%92%25%
1.525%50%67%0%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaFC Porto
HATHAT
Clean sheets112549
Failed to score448101

Penalties

MetricTondelaFC Porto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTondelaFC Porto
Wins17
Draws11
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-0——
Goals For2244
Goals Against3311

Model comparison

MetricTondelaFC Porto
Form24%76%
Att33%67%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h0%100%
Goals12%88%
Total18.2%81.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Porto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.50 @ Unibet
Draw6.04 @ Pinnacle
Away1.32 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.09 (league 1.37), FC Porto = 2.61 (league 1.24)

FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 6.8% 17.6% 23.0% 20.0% 13.0% 6.8%
1 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 86.0%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1