Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.46) 0.43 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 28.5% 12.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Araba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 17.0% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmAraba
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack44%31%
Defense25%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Araba
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%40%0%22%
Draws25%20%22%20%50%33%
Loses50%80%67%40%50%44%

Form: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLWL • Araba: WDLLDLLDW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Araba
HATHAT
GF total639819
GF avg1.50.61.01.60.31.0
GA total711187512
GA avg1.82.22.01.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Umm al-FahmAraba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%56%78%
1.522%44%33%44%
2.511%22%11%11%
3.50%22%0%0%
4.50%22%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmAraba
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmAraba
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmAraba
Wins11
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-1—
Biggest losses3-55-01-23-0
Goals For3131
Goals Against5523

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmAraba
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Umm al-Fahm or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.26 @ Marathonbet
Away2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 1.34 (league 1.46), Araba = 0.43 (league 1.24)

Araba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 17.0% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1