Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.55) 0.43 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.9% 21.7% 8.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
17.3%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 11.5% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 8.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CitySunderland
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%70%
Defense10%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Sunderland
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins86%43%64%57%29%43%
Draws0%14%7%43%29%36%
Loses14%43%29%0%43%21%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWW • Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWD

League goals

Metric Manchester City Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total19133214418
GF avg2.71.92.32.00.61.3
GA total610167714
GA avg0.91.41.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CitySunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%71%71%
1.557%36%43%29%
2.550%7%14%0%
3.521%7%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CitySunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score112044

Penalties

MetricManchester CitySunderland
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CitySunderland
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-1—2-0
Goals For5532
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricManchester CitySunderland
Form67%33%
Att68%32%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals81%19%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away12.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 1.74 (league 1.55), Sunderland = 0.43 (league 1.26)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 11.5% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 8.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.9% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 24 , Vtod11