Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 17:45 • Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.73) 1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 22.6% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 3.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.9% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna SittardAjax
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack58%67%
Defense25%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Sittard Ajax
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins57%14%36%63%17%43%
Draws29%14%21%13%67%36%
Loses14%71%43%25%17%21%

Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDD • Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Fortuna Sittard Ajax
HATHAT
GF total11920131225
GF avg1.61.31.41.62.01.8
GA total7152271219
GA avg1.02.11.60.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna SittardAjax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%93%79%
1.543%50%64%50%
2.514%14%21%7%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna SittardAjax
HATHAT
Clean sheets303303
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricFortuna SittardAjax
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFortuna SittardAjax
Wins21
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-12-3
Biggest losses1-25-20-22-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricFortuna SittardAjax
Form42%58%
Att47%53%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h15%85%
Goals13%87%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Unibet
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away1.82 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Betano
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 1.84 (league 1.73), Ajax = 1.46 (league 1.37)

Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Sittard 0 3.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.9% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 30.2%

Vtot 12 , Vtod5