Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio OlÃmpico La Vega
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.27)
0.66 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.8% | 33.1% | 23.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Jarabacoa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vega Real | 0 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 73% | 9% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 17% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 0% | 27% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 38% | 71% | 53% |
Form: Vega Real: WLLDWDLLLLLLWLW • Jarabacoa: LWDLLLWWDLDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vega Real | Jarabacoa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 53% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 53% | 20% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 20% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vega Real | Jarabacoa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 89% | 11% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 72.0% | 28.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Vega Real or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vega Real = 1.04 (league 1.27), Jarabacoa = 0.66 (league 1.37)
| Jarabacoa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vega Real | 0 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 23.0%
vtt 3 , vtd1