League One — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • One Call Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.48) 0.79 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.1% 22.3% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mansfield Town 0 7.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMansfield TownBolton
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack50%80%
Defense10%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mansfield Town Bolton
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%22%35%67%13%41%
Draws25%22%24%33%50%41%
Loses25%56%41%0%38%18%

Form: Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLWDWDWLLL • Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDD

League goals

Metric Mansfield Town Bolton
HATHAT
GF total1492318624
GF avg1.81.01.42.00.81.4
GA total9142341216
GA avg1.11.61.40.41.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMansfield TownBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%82%76%71%
1.535%41%35%18%
2.56%12%18%6%
3.56%0%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMansfield TownBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets213505
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricMansfield TownBolton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMansfield TownBolton
Wins33
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-0—3-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricMansfield TownBolton
Form27%73%
Att38%62%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bolton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.13 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mansfield Town = 1.83 (league 1.48), Bolton = 0.79 (league 1.12)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mansfield Town 0 7.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 15.5%

vtt 11 , vtd1