Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 17:00 •
Volksparkstadion
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.83)
1.79 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.1% | 23.3% | 50.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Koln W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV W | 0 | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 25% | 44% |
| Defense | 38% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 36% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
Form: Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDLLLD • FC Koln W: LLLWWDLWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 64% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 36% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 27% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-2 | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | FC Koln W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Koln W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV W = 1.18 (league 1.83), FC Koln W = 1.79 (league 1.57)
| FC Koln W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV W | 0 | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 50.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1