Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 19:30 • Gateshead International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.72) 2.82 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 17.5% 48.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
1 - 2
6.4%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle United W 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2%
1 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.3% 2.4%
3 1.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 2.8% 1.6%
4 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle United WSouthampton W
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack80%73%
Defense53%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle United W Southampton W
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%20%50%33%
Draws50%40%44%40%25%33%
Loses25%20%22%40%25%33%

Form: Newcastle United W: WDLLDDWDW • Southampton W: WDLDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Newcastle United W Southampton W
HATHAT
GF total6111781220
GF avg1.52.21.91.63.02.2
GA total59146915
GA avg1.31.81.61.22.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle United WSouthampton W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%89%89%
1.567%33%56%44%
2.522%11%33%22%
3.511%11%33%11%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle United WSouthampton W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricNewcastle United WSouthampton W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNewcastle United WSouthampton W
Wins12
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-02-5
Biggest losses0-14-22-32-1
Goals For3445
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle United WSouthampton W
Form56%44%
Att52%48%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Unibet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away5.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle United W = 2.00 (league 1.72), Southampton W = 2.82 (league 1.38)

Southampton W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle United W 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2%
1 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.3% 2.4%
3 1.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.0% 2.8% 1.6%
4 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1